Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 8.884458 10.168693 11.588142 13.275875 15.231162 17.428979 20.092047
2025-07-27 7.370777 9.084785 11.135024 13.777770 17.107958 21.183334 26.576521
2025-08-03 6.141997 7.977188 10.299112 13.470673 17.718338 23.250317 31.065185
2025-08-10 5.317348 7.204820 9.704196 13.283958 18.325307 25.239354 35.556286
2025-08-17 4.693126 6.593414 9.210019 13.114335 18.858034 27.099715 40.005691
2025-08-24 4.183169 6.067276 8.752650 12.907979 19.263896 28.762095 44.299194
2025-08-31 3.750277 5.597145 8.312379 12.654339 19.535097 30.206180 48.376247
2025-09-07 3.575337 5.486908 8.383796 13.168300 21.020035 33.653347 56.043050
2025-09-14 3.339944 5.256209 8.240944 13.317314 21.917979 36.231087 62.551599
2025-09-21 3.095998 4.986163 8.005494 13.281882 22.489985 38.303528 68.406689
2025-09-28 2.858571 4.703394 7.720174 13.127083 22.827966 39.987364 73.737128
2025-10-05 2.756303 4.635097 7.781793 13.569528 24.253685 43.737744 83.380810
2025-10-12 2.633569 4.523765 7.764321 13.877867 25.484035 47.296723 93.195753
2025-10-19 2.554156 4.480566 7.860558 14.400299 27.167972 51.899838 105.736759
2025-10-26 2.357169 4.209568 7.524413 14.078078 27.183755 53.239418 111.646230
2025-11-02 2.197314 3.992891 7.268366 13.882283 27.423378 55.042576 118.774702
2025-11-09 2.054862 3.796866 7.033847 13.704425 27.676047 56.890270 126.234798
2025-11-16 1.920544 3.605513 6.792149 13.488063 27.822457 58.520580 133.404395
2025-11-23 1.792227 3.415793 6.538194 13.222142 27.833132 59.850131 140.033553
2025-11-30 1.763496 3.419186 6.664682 13.761009 29.649139 65.394870 157.675364
2025-12-07 1.695471 3.338426 6.614796 13.917259 30.625517 69.128948 171.323673
2025-12-14 1.612984 3.221919 6.482222 13.880106 31.154117 71.868377 182.794406
2025-12-21 1.524739 3.087040 6.300933 13.717792 31.372439 73.883584 192.628204